US Dollar Bullish Momentum influence EURUSD

US Dollar Bullish Momentum influence EURUSD

EURUSD Rebounds Amid Strong Dollar Sentiment

The EUR/USD pair saw a resurgence, climbing to approximately 1.0760 in Asian trading hours after touching a three-week low of 1.0723 last Friday. The bullish momentum of the US Dollar (USD) surged following the release of robust economic indicators from the United States.

The US Nonfarm Payrolls for November surpassed expectations, registering a significant upswing to 199,000 jobs, while the Unemployment Rate plummeted to 3.7%, down from the previous 3.9%. Meanwhile, November's German Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices remained stable at 2.3% year-on-year, aligning with forecasts, with a 0.7% monthly decline, echoing October's figures.

ECB & Fed: Rates Unchanged Amidst Labor Data

Anticipation prevails that the European Central Bank (ECB) will maintain the Main Refinancing Operations Rate at 4.5% in its forthcoming monetary policy statement. Speculation is rife that the ECB might initiate interest rate reductions come March 2024. Conversely, the consensus expects the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to retain interest rates at 5.5% in the upcoming policy meeting, given the current strong economic indicators.

USD Index Holds Firm Above 104.00

The US Dollar Index (DXY) continues its robust performance above the 104.00 mark, bolstered by favorable US Treasury yields. Presently, the yields for 2-year and 10-year US bond coupons stand at 4.24% and 4.73%, respectively.

Key Market Focus: US CPI Data & German Survey

Investor focus will revolve around the impact of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data scheduled for Tuesday. Additionally, Germany's release of the ZEW Survey – Economic Sentiment for December is anticipated to significantly influence market movements and sentiments.

Forex Implications: Analyzing EUR/USD Levels

For Forex traders, the EUR/USD pair is showing signs of recovery, trading around 1.0765, exhibiting a minor increase of 0.01%. The daily moving averages suggest mixed trends, while crucial levels such as the previous daily high of 1.0801 and daily lows at 1.0724 could potentially indicate future market movements. Traders are advised to closely monitor these levels and key economic indicators for strategic trading decisions amidst the ongoing dynamics impacting the Forex market.

In the Forex market, events like monetary policy decisions by central banks (such as the ECB and the Fed) heavily influence currency pairs like EUR/USD. Strong economic data from the US typically strengthens the US Dollar (USD) against other currencies, impacting pairs like EUR/USD. Traders keenly observe these announcements and economic indicators to gauge potential shifts in currency valuations and make informed Forex trading decisions, particularly regarding the EUR/USD pair's movement and associated market levels.

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