Gold prices have made a mild recovery during the early Asian trading hours on Friday, currently trading near $1,985, up 0.05% for the day. This rebound in the precious metal's value is underpinned by lower US Treasury yields and a weaker US Dollar Index (DXY), which has fallen to 106.58 after reaching 106.90. The 10-year US Treasury yield has declined to 4.85%, contributing to the uptick in gold prices.
The US economy displayed improvement in the third quarter, with the preliminary US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Annualized for Q3 expanding by 4.9%, surpassing previous figures and market expectations. While Initial Jobless Claims rose slightly, continuing claims also increased. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is anticipated to keep rates steady and maintain a tightening bias in its upcoming meeting. US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen affirmed that the recent rise in yields reflects the strength of the US economy and is unrelated to deficits or an impending recession. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East may further elevate safe-haven assets like gold.
The European Central Bank (ECB) opted to leave key policy rates unchanged and indicated a shift in focus towards the duration of current rate levels, without addressing adjustments to their QE (PEPP) reinvestment profile. These ECB decisions could influence the outlook for gold, as investors assess central bank policies on both sides of the Atlantic.
Forex and gold traders are closely monitoring the US core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) set to be released later on Friday. Additionally, data on US Consumer Inflation Expectations and the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for October are anticipated. With the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting next week, traders in the Forex market will look to these data releases for trading opportunities around the gold price.
Gold prices often have a significant influence on the Forex market. Forex and crypto traders pay close attention to factors affecting gold, as it is considered a safe-haven asset. In this context, the recent rebound in gold prices, driven by economic indicators and geopolitical tensions, may have ripple effects on currency pairs. Traders should consider the interplay between gold prices, USD strength, and other global economic developments when making Forex trading decisions.